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Track record
A projection is only evidence if it was fixed before the game. This page grades the ones we can show were, and names the ones we can't — with the timestamps, so you can check rather than trust.
Disposals · provably forward-graded
995 cards over 4 rounds is a start, not a track record. Too few games to tell a good model from a lucky one. It grows by a round a week from here.
A round with no provable games reports no number at all, rather than one computed on the games we excluded.
For 19 games our projections were frozen to file after the game had already started. The file is generated automatically and there's no sign anyone saw a result — but we can't prove it, so none of them count anywhere on this page. 654 cards were graded before we caught it and are excluded from every number above. 3 games were never graded at all — the round's file already postdated them, so there was nothing to score.
This page used to carry a six-season record built from 51,990 projections. It came down in August 2026 because the program that produced it was measuring the wrong thing, and it hasn't been put back at a corrected value. It goes back up when it's right, with the date it was measured, and not before.
The replay read round labels in one format while our database stores them in another, so it silently discarded every home-and-away game and ran on finals alone — 2,066 games out of 56,308. Its own check for exactly this printed an error value, and the program carried on.
A corrected figure needs the rebuilt program and a corrected archival process behind it — the same archival timing that forces the exclusions above.